Assess whether a DMSMS hit is already a stock-out risk (8d327b)

SITUATION Depot procurement-intelligence analyst in an ALC working a shortage on a high-demand NSN has one working extract — lead-time outlier report — after a OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock. If lead-time outlier report cannot support a DMSMS hit is, the only defensible Defense Sustainment output is hold.

DECISION Depot procurement-intelligence analyst in an ALC working a shortage on a high-demand NSN must choose Fund and move materiel / Cannibalize or substitute / Defer a cycle / Hold using lead-time outlier report after a OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock.

HYPOTHESES TO TEST 1. A OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock is already priced into lead-time outlier report; depot procurement-intelligence analyst can take Fund and move materiel on a DMSMS hit is inside an ALC working a shortage on a high-demand NSN. 2. A OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock is the event in lead-time outlier report that forces Cannibalize or substitute rather than Fund and move materiel for this Depot Procurement Intelligence file. 3. Lead-time outlier report shows a one-file miss after a OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock, not a Defense Sustainment program failure across an ALC working a shortage on a high-demand NSN. 4. A DMSMS hit is cannot be closed from lead-time outlier report after a OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock; depot procurement-intelligence analyst should keep Hold in force.

ANALYSIS REQUIRED 1. Quantify mission impact if a DMSMS hit is is deferred one cycle in an ALC working a shortage on a high-demand NSN. 2. Reconcile depot demand in lead-time outlier report to fleet readiness and NSN coverage after a OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock. 3. Trace the funding or cannibalization line that would actually move lead-time outlier report. 4. For this Defense Sustainment Depot Procurement Intelligence file, read lead-time outlier report against a OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock and write the one fact that would move a DMSMS hit is for depot procurement-intelligence analyst.

RECOMMENDATION Choose Fund and move materiel / Cannibalize or substitute / Defer a cycle / Hold on this Defense Sustainment / Depot Procurement Intelligence packet (lead-time outlier report after a OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock). If lead-time outlier report cannot force a Defense Sustainment label under Depot Procurement Intelligence, stop. Do not invent missing evidence an ALC working a shortage on a high-demand NSN does not have.

COMMAND RETURNS - Bottom-line Defense Sustainment option on a DMSMS hit is, then the evidence in lead-time outlier report, then the action for depot procurement-intelligence analyst - Hypothesis scorecard against lead-time outlier report: supported / rejected / untestable - What changes a DMSMS hit is if a OEM end-of-life notice with 90 days of stock is later withdrawn - Named option among Fund and move materiel, Cannibalize or substitute, Defer a cycle and the fact that kills the others